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Studies / Precognition / Who's calling? Evaluating the accuracy o…

Who's calling? Evaluating the accuracy of guessing who is on the phone

Arnaud Delorme, Helané WahbehEXPLORE, 2023 Peer-Reviewed
✦ Imagine …

Can you tell who's calling before you look at your phone?

This study tested whether people can guess who is calling and found results favoring psi, though conventional explanations remain possible.

What Is This About?

Methodology

Cross-sectional study of triads examining accuracy of guessing who is calling using two randomly selected designs

Outcomes

Accuracy rates in caller guessing interpreted as favoring psi while acknowledging conventional explanations remain possible

How Good Is the Evidence?

Anecdotal5/100
AnecdotalPreliminarySolidStrongOverwhelming

Proponents argue that consistent above-chance performance in caller guessing demonstrates anomalous information transfer, adding to evidence for psi phenomena. Critics counter that without strict controls for sensory cues, statistical artifacts, and potential biases, such results likely reflect methodological weaknesses rather than genuine psychic ability.

↔ Interpretation Spectrum

Mainstream: Correct guesses reflect pattern recognition, routine behaviors, or chance coincidence. Moderate: Some participants may weakly access anomalous information, but results require replication with stricter controls. Frontier: These findings suggest humans can perceive future or distant information through psi channels.

Common Misconception

Many assume that correctly guessing a caller proves telepathy. In reality, such hits could stem from routine calling patterns, partial sensory information, or statistical coincidence—exactly why controlled conditions are essential to rule out these mundane explanations.

Convincing Checklist
2 of 5 criteria met
Met2/5
Large sample (N>100)
Peer-reviewed journal
Replicated
Significant effect
DOI available

To establish genuine precognition in caller guessing, we would need large-scale pre-registered studies with double-blind procedures, effect sizes consistently above chance across multiple independent replications, and rigorous controls eliminating sensory cues. This study provides preliminary findings but lacks the controls and replication needed to meet these criteria.

these results favor the psi hypothesis, although conventional explanations cannot be completely excluded

Stance: Mixed

Understanding Terms

📖
Precognition
The apparent ability to know about future events before they happen, such as sensing who will call before the phone rings.
📖
Psi
A term for anomalous communication or perception that cannot be explained by known sensory channels.
📖
Cross-sectional study
Research that observes a population at a single point in time, like taking a snapshot.

What This Study Claims

Methodology

Two randomly selected designs were utilized

moderate

Study employed a cross-sectional design examining triads

moderate

Interpretations

Results favor the psi hypothesis

weak

Limitations

Conventional explanations cannot be completely excluded

strong

This summary is for general information about current research. It does not constitute medical advice. The scientific interpretation of these results is debated among researchers. If personally affected, please consult qualified professionals.